Swans, Elephants, Jellyfish and Rhinos. International Relations and their animals
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14422/cir.i12.y2018.001Keywords:
international relations beasts, black swans, black elephants, black jellyfish, grey rhinosAbstract
Nowadays we are in an accelerated and sustained process of change that is completely different from last century. New issues and great unknowns are frequent today in international relations; furthermore, these relations are changing and are frequently shaken by unforeseen crisis. In these situations two of the more important things are the early identification of risks and the building resilient societies. For this reason, some new tools have emerged to help us to understand these situations and their serious consequences. This paper introduces some imaginary animals that are being used as metaphors by economists, scientists or political analysts to try analyze traumatic events that could arrive.
Downloads
References
Aven, T. (2013). On the meaning of a black swan in a risk context. Safety Science, 57, 44-51.
Aven, T., & Krohn, B. S. (2014). A new perspective on how to understand, assess and manage risk and the unforeseen. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 121, 1-10. Recuperado de https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832013002159
Bekiros, S., Boubaker, S., Nguyen, D. K., & Uddin, G. S. (2017). Black swan events and safe havens: The role of gold in globally integrated emerging markets. Journal of International Money and Finance, 73, 317-334. Recuperado de https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/75740/1/MPRA_paper_75740.pdf
Chia, K. S. (2017). Public Health in this Brave New World. Recuperado de https://goo.gl/yhAXLs
Downes, G. (2018). Office Guy Cartoons. Tamworth, Australia.
Friedman, T. L. (22 November 2014). Stampeding Black Elephants. The New York Times. Recuperado de https://goo.gl/3n6ecr
Gershwin, L. A. (2013). Stung. On Jellyfish Blooms and the Future of the Ocean. Chicago; London: The University of Chicago Press.
IUCN, International Union for Conservation of Nature. (2014). IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. Recuperado de http://www.worldparkscongress.org/
Jaye, N. (2017). Do “Gray Rhinos” Pose a Greater Threat Than Black Swans? CFA Institute Magazine, 28(3). Recuperado de https://goo.gl/jNMMNW
Pera, J. (2017). Etymology of the definition of risk in international relations. The aspect of research. Horyzonty Polityki, 7(21), 119-140. Recuperado de https://goo.gl/H3Cs-
Sardar, Z., & Sweeney, J. A. (2016). The three tomorrows of postnormal times. Futures, 75, 1-13. Recuperado de https://goo.gl/1xrXJB
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan. The Impact of the Highly Improbable. New York: Random House. Reviewed by James Iain Gow Université de Montréal, Canada.
Taleb, N. N. (2009). Mis conversaciones con Taleb. Bolsa: Revista Mensual de Bolsas y Mercados Españoles, 108. Recuperado de https://goo.gl/mt83t4
Wucker, M. (2016). The gray rhino: How to recognize and act on the obvious dangers we ignore. New York: Macmillan Audio.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
The authors of articles published in Comillas Journal of International Relations retain the intellectual property rights over their works and grant the journal their distribution and public communication rights, consenting to their publication under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivates 4.0 Unported. Authors are encouraged to publish their work on the Internet (for example, on institutional or personal pages, repositories, etc.) respecting the conditions of this license and quoting appropriately the original source.