Russia, China, India and Central Asia

Authors

  • Stephen Blank

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14422/cir.i03.y2015.002

Keywords:

Rusia, China, India, Asia Central, Organización de Cooperación de Shanghái

Abstract

India’s forthcoming entry into the Shanghai Cooperation Organization may be of importance to Delhi but it cannot undo the critical fact that China is increasingly becoming the most consequential foreign actor in Central Asia and that Russia is slipping into dependence on China even to the point where its Ministry of Defense has formally sought an alliance with China against terrorism, “color revolutions”, and the US. China is winning the rivalry for influence in Central Asia, India is barely competitive there and Russia is steadily losing ground there, mainly due to its own failures to enhance its economic-political capacity, even before it invaded Ukraine. The consequences of that move have only accelerated the processes of its growing dependence on China.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Stephen Blank

American Foreign Policy Council, Washington, D.C.

References

Aneja, A. (2014, December 16). New Silk Road Needs SCO Security cover, Says China. The Hindu. Retrieved from http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/world/china-says-new-silk-road-needs-sco-security-cover/article6697632.ece

Aneja, A. (2014, June 30). China Invites India to join Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. The Hindu. Retrieved from http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/china-invites-india-to-join-asian-infrastructure-investment-bank/article6160686.ece

Baker, P. & Harris, G. (2015, January 26). US and India Share Sense of Unease Over China. New York Times. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/

Beijing Ministry of National Defense of the People’s Republic of China. (2014, November 27). FBIS SOV.

Beijing. (2014, February 6). Xinhua Asia-Pacific Service. FBIS SOV.

Beshimov, A., Abdykamov, O. & Sultanalieva, S. (2010, November 30). Economic Consequences of the Customs Union for the Kyrgyz Republic, Phase II Final Report. Prepared for the Ministry of Economic Regulation.

Blank, S. (2008). Moscow’s Strategic Triangle In a Time Of Transition. Journal of East Asian Studies. Vol. XXII(1), pp. 99-144.

Blank, S. (2013, March 8). Whither the New Silk Road and US Central Asia Policy? International Relations and Security Network. Retrieved from https://css.ethz.ch/en/services.html

Blank, S. (2013). Making Sense of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Georgetown Journal of International Affairs. Vol. XIV(2), pp. 39-50.

Blank, S. (2014, September 22-23). Triangularism Old and New - China, Russia, and the United States. Conference: New perspectives on Sino-Russian Relations. Oslo.

Blank, S. & Kim, Y. (2013). Same Bed, Different Dreams. Journal of Contemporary China. Vol. XXII(82), pp. 63-80.

Borgozmehr, N. & Hornby, L. (2014, December 12). China Offers to Help Iraq Defeat Sunni extremists. Financial Times. Retrieved from http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3f4dc794-8141-11e4-b956-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3eugvQcfg

Calder, K. E. (2012). The New Continentalism: Energy and Twenty-First-Century Eurasian Geo-politics. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

China Invites India to Join Its Ambitious Silk Road Projects. (2914, August 19). The Economic times. Retrieved from https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/

China Invites India to Join Maritime Silk Road. (2014, February 15). Free Press Journal. Retrieved from https://www.freepressjournal.in/india/china-invites-india-to-join-maritime-silk-route

Chinese Puzzle: Beijing Goes the Other Way, Why? (2014, May 23). FBIS SOV. Retrieved from https://vesti.kg/

Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. (2008). China’s Foreign Policy and “Soft Power” in South America, Asia, and Africa. Study Prepared for the Committee on Foreign Relations. United States Senate.

Cooper Ramo, J. (2004). The Beijing Consensus. London: Foreign Policy Centre.

Einhorn, B. (2014, September 2). Visiting Japan, India’s Modi Pokes at China. Retrieved from https://www.bloomberg.com/

Feigenbaum, A. (2011). Why America No Longer Gets Asia. The Washington Quarterly. Vol. XXXIV(2).

Gabuev, A. (2015, June 1). The Silence of the Bear: Deciphering Russia’s Showing at Shangrila Dialogue. Carnegie. Retrieved from http://carnegie.ru/eurasiaoutlook/?fa=60263

Goble, P. (2015, January 20). Moscow Edges Away from Support for China’s Silk Road Project. Window on Eurasia New Series. Retrieved from http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2015/01/moscow-edges-away-from-support-for.html

Gokhale, N. (2014, February 10). India’s Rising Regional Military Engagement. The Diplomat Magazine. Retrieved from http://thediplomat.com/2014/02/indias-rising-regional-military-engagement/

Graham, T. (2010). The Sources of Russia’s Insecurity. Survival. Vol. LII(1), p. 65.

Husheng, Z. (2004). Security Building in Central Asia and the Shanghai Cooperation Organi- zation. Slavic Eurasia’s Integration Into the World Economy and Community. Sapporo: Slavic Research Center, Hokkaido.

Jeffrey Mankoff, J. (2013). Eurasian Integration: the Next Stage, Central Asia Policy Brief.George Washington University: Elliott School of international Affairs.

Kaukenov, A. (2013). Internal Contradictions of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Central Asia and the Caucasus. Vol. XIV(2).

Kazakhstan and India Develop Cooperation in Defense Sector. (2014, December 8). Kazakhstanskaya Pravda.

Kipp, J. W. (2011). Russia’s Nuclear Posture and the Threat That Dare Not Speak Its Name. In S. J. Blank (Ed.), Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future (pp. 459-503). Carlisle Barracks, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College.

Lindley-French, J. (2014). Ukraine: Understanding Russia. RUSI Journal. Vol. CLIX(3).

Malik, M. (2011). China and India: Great Power Rivals, Boulder, Colorado: First Forum Press.

Miglani, S. (2014, April 30). India Turns to Russia to Help Supply Arms to Afghan Army.Reuters. Retrieved from http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/30/us-india-afghani-stan-arms-idUSBREA3T0J320140430

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. (2015, February 2). Joint Communiqué of the13th Meeting of the Foreign Ministers of the Russian Federation, the Republic of India and the People’s Republic of China. Retrieved from http://www.mid.ru/bdomp/brp_4.nsf/e78a48070f128a7b43256999005bcbb3/8d6de00ba64f65b343257de0004fe531!OpenDocument

Modi Leads India to the Silk Road. (2014, August 7). Rediff news. Retrieved from http://www.rediff.com/new/column/modi-leads-india-to-the-silk-road/20140807.htm

Moldashev, K. (2011). Joining the Customs Union: The Dilemma of Kyrgyzstan. Horizon- research.

Retrieved from http://horizonresearch.kz/index.php/en/analytics/regional-integrations/74-kyrgyzstan-cu

Moscow (2014, November 18). Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2007, November 15). Interfax. FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2014, December 10). Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federatio. FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2014, July 9). Interfax. FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2014, November 10). Nezavisimaya Gazeta Online. FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2014, November 18). FBIS SOV. Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, in Russian.

Moscow. (2014, November 18). Interfax. FBIS SOV. Moscow. (2014, November 18). Interfax. FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2014, November 20). FBIS SOV.

Moscow. (2014, November 20). Nezavisimaya Gazeta Online, in Russian.

Moscow. (2014, November 27). FBIS SOV.

Nixey, J. (2012). The Long Goodbye: Waning Russian Influence in the South Caucasus and Central Asia. Royal Institute of International Affairs. Retrieved from http://www.chatham-house.org/publications/papers/view/184065

Panda, A. (2014, July 17). BRICS Announce a New Development Bank. The Diplomat. Retrieved from http://thediplomat.com/2014/07/brics-announce-new-development-bank/

Raina, H. (2014, August 10). Vexed Neighbors: India and China’s Evolving Relationship. Georgetown Journal of International Affairs. Retrieved from http://journal.georgetown.edu/vexed-neighbors-india-and-chinas-evolving-relationship/

Reiss, M. B. (2005). Prospects for Nuclear Proliferation in Asia. In A. J. Tellis & M. Wills, (Eds.), Strategic Asia 2005-06: Military Modernization in Age of Uncertainty. Seattle, Washington: National Bureau of Research Asia.

Russia, India and China Stand United To Bring Perpetrators of Terror Acts To Justice. (2015, February 2). The Economic Times. Retrieved from http://articles.economictimes.india-times.com/2015-02-02/news/58711799_1_shanghai-cooperation-organisation-trilateral-cooperation-early-conclusion

Russian Officials Laud Ties With China; Observers Express Concerns. (2009, July 20). OpenSource Center, OSC Feature, Russia, OSC Analysis. FBIS SOV.

Shannon Tiezzi, S. (2014, August 10). China’s APEC Diplomacy. The Diplomat. Retrieved from https://thediplomat.com/

Singh, J. (2015, June 6). Russia and India: A 21st Century Decline. The Diplomat. Retrieved from http://thediplomat.com/2015/06/russia-and-india-a-21st-century-decline/

Smith, J. M. (2014). Cold Peace: China-India Rivalry in the Twenty-First Century. Lanham: Lexington Books.

Tellis, A. J. & Mirski, S. (Eds.). (2013). Crux of Asia: China, India, and the Emerging Global Order. Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Teploukhova, M. (2010). Russia and International Organizations in the Asia-Pacific: Agenda for the Russian Far East. Security Index. Vol. XVI(2).

Terekhova, A. (2015, January 20). Moskva Distantsiruetsiia Ot Kitaiskogo Proekta Shelkovogo Puti. Nezavisimaya Gazeta. Retrieved from http://www.ng.ru/economics/2015-01-20/4_china.html?print=Y

Trenin, D. (2014, December 29). Russia’s New Military Doctrine Tells It All. Retrieved from https://carnegieendowment.org/2014/12/29/2014-russia-s-new-military-doctrine-tells-it-all

Trenin, D. & Malashenko, A. (2010). Afghanistan: The View From Moscow. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Valdynthan, P. (2015, February 3). APEC Doors Open For India, President Xi, Sushma Swaraj Discuss Progress In Ties. The Express. Retrieved from http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/apec-doors-open-for-india-president-xi-sushma-discuss-progress-in-ties/

Voyennaya Doktrina Rossiiskoi Federatsii. (2014, December 26). President of Russia. Retrieved from http://www.kremlin.ru/

Vuving, A. L. (2015, April 10). A Breakthrough in US-Vietnam Relations. The Diplomat. Retrie- ved from http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/a-breakthrough-in-us-vietnam-relations/

Weitz, R. (2014, May 6). Russia-India Afghan Arms Deal Comes With Regional Implica- tions. World Politics Review. Retrieved from http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/13759/russia-india-afghan-arms-deal-comes-with-regional-implications

Wisniewska, I. (2013). Eurasian Integration: Russia’s Attempt at the Economic Unification of the Post-Soviet Area. Warsaw: OSW Studies, Centre for Eastern Studies.

Yilmaz, M. & Moldashev, K. (2009). The Possible Effects of the Customs Union of Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia on Development of Kazakhstan Economy. Horizonre- search. Retrieved from http://horizonresearch.kz/index.php/en/analytics/regional-integrations/75-cu-effects

Downloads

How to Cite

Blank, S. (2015). Russia, China, India and Central Asia. Comillas Journal of International Relations, (3), 13–28. https://doi.org/10.14422/cir.i03.y2015.002

Issue

Section

Articles